报 告人：朱金霞 高级讲师，博士生导师
朱金霞，2008年获香港大学精算学博士学位，现供职于澳大利亚新南威尔士大学（UNSW Sydney）风险和精算学院，现职高级讲师，博士生导师。研究领域包括随机最优控制在精算和金融中的应用，资产分配，和风险理论，研究成果主要发表在应用概率和精算领域的国际顶级期刊上，包括Stochastic Processes and their Applications, European Journal of Operation Research, Advances in Applied Probability, Journal of Applied Probability和Insurance: Mathematics and Economics等。
With the advancement of behavioral economics, the of exponential discounting for decision making in neoclassical economics has been questioned since it cannot provide a realistic way to explain certain decision-making behavior. The purpose of this talk is to investigate strategic decision making on dividend distribution policies of insurance companies when the management adopts a more realistic way for discounting, namely stochastic quasi-hyperbolic discounting. The use of this more realistic way for discounting is motivated by some recent developments in behavioral economics. A game theoretic approach is adopted to establish economic equilibrium results, namely subgame perfect Markov equilibrium strategies. It is shown that (1) under certain mild technical conditions, the barrier strategy with an optimal barrier, which is widely used in the traditional approach to optimal dividend problems, is a perfect Markov equilibrium strategy, (2) the optimal barrier is lower than the barrier of an optimal strategy obtained from the respective time-consistent optimal dividend problem, and (3) the solution based on the barrier strategy does not exist in some situations.